Reducing immigration will collapse the Welfare State, it won’t help it…

‘Schrodinger’s immigrant’. Like the cat in the box, this migrant is both everywhere and nowhere, somehow managing to simultaneously steal jobs from hardworking Brits and scrounge off the benefits system.

There is no solid evidence that current levels of immigration are harmful, in fact, quite the contrary.

They’re not taking your job, they’re not driving down wages and they’re not pushing the NHS and schooling to breaking point, chronic underfunding and regressive policy is doing that, if anything immigrants have been propping it up.

The Tories are all about the reduction of State. Their ethos is that healthcare, education, social care and pretty much all public services should be controlled by the market. They are defunding, restructuring, and demoralising our public services whilst blaming immigrants for the extra “pressure” being felt as a result.

This is the will of capitalists with vested interests in keeping wages down, in profiting from privatisation of run down public services, who are currently enjoying massive tax cuts to the detriment of the many while their own private portfolios swell. The same people who are represented by the Tory party and whose narrative is pushed by a largely right-wing, non-tax paying billionaire led media.

Immigration is a political red herring to deflect blame from those who truly cause the nations ills, those at the top through their greed and corruption.

This article provides a detailed look at how the working class have been exploited by successive Tory/New Labour/Coalition/Tory policy, Thatcher through May, which has seen the tax burden shift from business and finance onto workers wages and consumable products.

Here is an extensive analysis and breakdown of immigration and it’s affects on British society from the LSE.

As for EU migration specifically…

Can you see a relationship between unemployment in an area and levels of EU immigration?

No – because there isn’t one.

And can you see a relationship between changes in hourly wages in an area and levels of EU immigration into that area?

No – because there isn’t one.

The government’s immigration white paper is finally coming out, it will be the first since 2006. Considering they’ve commissioned numerous studies over the years, all saying pretty much the same thing, it seems rather moot.

Since 2010 there have been 120 migration policy changes. (There were only 52 in 30 years before).

The government have purposefully avoided setting out policy because it hasn’t been able to agree. They’ve backed themselves into a corner.

The plans announced so far from Sajid Javid are ridiculous.

There will be no cap on ‘highly-skilled’ migrants.

‘Medium-skilled’ migrants will only be allowed if they earn at least £30,000. This means no more foreign nurses, teachers or care workers.

‘Low-skilled’ migrants can apply for a short term visa for up to a year, depending on what country they’re from.

They want to reduce immigration to 10,000 by 2025.

They’re own projections show that this will cause a big reduction in the tax take for the Treasury.

A couple of things spring to mind…

1. Between now and 2030, the over 65 population will increase by 30% vs working age by 2%

Are people prepared for much higher tax with lower immigration?

2. Unemployment rate is a historic ‘low’ of 4%

How will vital jobs be filled? Nursing, teaching, Social care, construction…anyone?

There is a massive skills shortage in Britain, again, because of successive governments failing to invest in our people.

UK employers spend £6bn less on skills than the Euro average. Employers in England are spending £5.1 billion less on training in real terms than a decade ago. Public investment has also been slashed – the adult skills budget has been cut by 40 per cent in real terms between 2010/11 and 2015/16.

In a report by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) – From ‘inadequate’ to ‘outstanding’: making the UK’s skills system world class – the CIPD warns that the UK is “sleepwalking into a low-value, low-skills economy”. They warn:

• England and Northern Ireland together rank in the bottom four OECD countries for literacy and numeracy among 16-24 year olds

• Employers train less and invest less in skills than most other EU countries

• UK is sleepwalking into a low-value, low-skills economy post-Brexit

• CIPD urges Government to make skills funding available to tackle low skills in the workplace

Let’s not underestimate how vital these people are to our NHS…

12% of NHS staff say that their nationality is non-British, representing a total of 199 different nationalities. 5% report a nationality of an EU country other than the UK – that’s almost 59,000 people. Of these, over 70% are from ‘old’ EU countries – those which joined the EU before 2004. One quarter of EU staff are from Ireland. Polish, Spanish, and Portuguese are the next most common. Together, these four nationalities make up almost three-fifths of EU NHS staff. The EU countries with the lowest NHS representation are Luxembourg (13) and Slovenia (113).”

The number of EU nationals registering as nurses in England has dropped by 92%.

With over 40,000 nurse vacancies and 1 in 10 nursing posts unfilled, this is one of the biggest crises that the NHS is currently facing.

They are also vital to the social care sector:

MIGRANTS IN THE CARE SECTOR contribute £17 Million to the English economy every day’

So how have we come to this position of the general public seeing immigration and immigrants in such a bad light?

Let’s look at the years leading up to the Brexit vote…

“Since the early 2000s, immigration has been one of the most salient political issues in Britain, gaining extensive attention in the media as well as well as from political leaders and members of the public. Negative media coverage of migrants and asylum seekers is widely believed to influence and perhaps cause negative public opinion toward immigration. Numerous studies have examined episodes of media coverage of immigration in rich detail, often turning up evidence of negative and selective portrayals of immigrants or asylum seekers. Larger scale, quantitative research has reached similar conclusions, revealing depictions of migrants as “fleeing, sneaking, and flooding” into Britain, and more generally a discourse that mostly presents a negative stance toward refugees, asylum seekers, immigrants, and migrants. But few researchers have systematically documented how the British media cover migration …”


‘Constructing Immigrants: Portrayals of Migrant Groups in British Newspapers, 2010-2012’

Which is exactly how and why the British public have a cognitive bias toward immigration, see:

You can see how the narrative is manipulated to drive a false impression of migrants. It’s the same tactics used against Muslims, see:

And we have the same scenario with the unemployed and ‘Poverty Porn’. They focus on the worst element of a demographic which is unreflective of that group as a whole. That group is then demonised so they can deflect scrutiny from those at the top and keep the lower classes distrusting each other and fighting amongst themselves.

The Tories, every election, must have a bogy man. If you haven’t got a programme, a bogy man will do.”

– Aneurin Bevan

Well the Tories don’t have a programme.

They have, however, been systematically demonising various groups of foreigners for years, all part of creating a ‘Hostile Environment’.

You can see this from the Parliament transcript records, Tuesday 22 October 2013…

“Our objective remains to reduce annual net migration to the tens of thousands by the end of the Parliament … We want to adopt a system in which only one decision is made. That will inform the individual that they cannot stay in the UK, and enable immigration enforcement to remove them if they do not leave voluntarilywe can deport first and hear appeals later.”

– Theresa May

A damning report has accused the Government of fuelling “toxic” anti-immigrant feeling just as it emerged that ministers have for years vastly overestimated the number of foreign students staying in Britain.”

Something they’ve long known from their own reports on the subject. This is a piece from the Times, last year…

“Only 1 per cent of international students break the terms of their visa by refusing to leave after their course ends, a secret government study has found.

The research completely undermines Theresa May’s case for a crackdown on foreign student recruitment and calls into question past estimates that put the figure far higher.

Official statistics have been used to suggest that tens of thousands of foreign students “vanish” each year after finishing their degrees, but the latest study would suggest that the true figure is 1,500.”

And there is much more than that. Theresa May tried to suppress a Home Office report in 2014 titled ‘Impacts of migration on UK native employment‘, where it shows there is ‘relatively little evidence’ of British workers being displaced — i.e. migrants taking the jobs of ‘natives’

Allegedly, there were nine such reports that Theresa May suppressed in her time as Home Secretary, as revealed by the former Business Secretary;

“When I was Business Secretary there were up to nine studies that we looked at that took in all the academic evidence. t showed that immigration had very little impact on wages or employment. But this was suppressed by the Home Office under Theresa May, because the results were inconvenient.

– Vince Cable

It’s well known that we have an ageing population. The only way to deal with this is by increasing the tax intake. This can be achieved in either one of two ways.

Either you raise taxes, or you increase the tax base. No political Party wants to impose taxes, and it’s hard to tax a highly unskilled workforce. Add that to the massive tax cuts for the richest that our society has increasingly seen over the last few decades and the problem intensifies.

The UK state pension is the worst in the developed world, according to data from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.”

You will often hear the argument that we’re ‘full’. This really is quite a ridiculous statement.”6.8% of the UK’s land area is now classified as urban” (a definition that includes rural development and roads, by the way) … In England, “78.6% of urban areas is designated as natural rather than built”. Since urban only covers a tenth of the country, this means that the proportion of England’s landscape which is built on is…2.27%

We may not have the infrastructure in certain areas, but that is again down to a chronic lack of investment from successive government.

If net migration were reduced to the Tories’ target of fewer than 100,000 people per year by 2030, every 1,000 people of prime working age (20-64) in Britain would have to support 405 people over the age of 65. At the present level of net migration, however, those 1,000 people would have to support only 389. This gap of 16 more pension-aged people rises to 44 by 2050. The middle-aged voters who tend to support the Conservatives today are the exact cohort whose pensions are at risk of shrinking if their desired immigration policies were put into practice.

Over their lifetimes, they [migrants] pay in £78,000 more than they take out in public services and benefits – while the average UK citizen’s net lifetime contribution is zero.”

This is the financial benefit of not having paid for their education and health etc, just receiving them at a tax paying citizen age.

According to government analysis, In 2017, the average adult migrant in the U.K. from the EEA yielded £2,370 ($3,000) more for the Treasury than the average British-born adult did.

Contrary to popular opinion, migration doesn’t drive down wages, but it does get blamed for it, of course there are loopholes that get exploited, but that is bad policy that is easily rectified. Just take the example of the recent influx of Syrians to Turkey.

2.5 MILLION Syrian migrants didn’t lower wages or employment in Turkey. Remember: Immigration doesn’t just increase labour supply. It also increases labour demand. Workers with at least high school degree have in fact benefited from the shock influx. Their wages have, on average, increased by 5.7%.

The problems that arise from these situations is always lack of investment to keep pace with the growth of population. Something our government have specialised in.

What drives down wages is unscrupulous capitalists in the chase of ever increasing profit.

Besides all this, the fact is that we have always had the mechanisms in place to control our immigration to begin with, how do you think we’ve been chucking out British citizens in the disgraceful Windrush scandal?

And we have always had the mechanism to control freedom of movement from the EU. People can be refused admittance on security grounds. They can also legally be required to register, and legally required to leave after three months if they do not have a job or fulfill other conditions such as being able to support themselves financially.

Yet with the exception of homeless EU migrants, these control powers have never been exercised by the Home Office, even when Theresa May was in charge of it. And that’s because in true British fashion, the Home Office (unlike, for instance, Belgium) failed to invest in an EU migrant worker registration system.

And round the circle goes…

Three people get stranded on a remote Island

A Banker, a Daily Mail reader & an Immigrant

All they have to eat is a box of 10 Mars bars

The Banker says “Because of my expertise and knowledge of asset management, I”ll look after our resources”

The other two agree

So the Banker turns his back and opens the box, gobbles down 9 of the Mars bars, turns back and hands the last one to the Daily Mail reader

He then says ” I’d keep an eye on that Immigrant, he’s after your Mars Bar”

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s